With clubs continuing to add the cost of the pandemic to their finances, predicting the current market value of players and actual activity in the summer transfer window that opens tomorrow is harder than ever.

In January, Premier League clubs spent a total of £ 70m on just 24 transfers completed – up from £ 230m in January 2020 and a 48% decrease from the previous three-year average of 46 transfers in the January transfer window (according to Deloitte). Data). Only three of these transfers cost more than £ 10m: Said Benrahma to West Ham United, Amad Diallo to Manchester United and Morgan Sanson to Aston Villa.

Overall, the market was badly deflated and most clubs were very cautious. A similar theme played out across Europe as the other big four leagues cut transfer spending significantly compared to the previous January windows. The clubs from the Bundesliga, La Liga, Ligue 1 and Serie A together only spent 195 million euros, compared to the three-year average of 660 million euros in January.

Given the ever-changing nature of the Covid situation in different parts of the world, trying to predict how things might change this summer has been problematic. From a Liverpool standpoint, it was not unreasonable to assume that they would have some difficulty moving to multiple fringe players for substantial fees this summer and that a cautious outlook on new signings will be adopted after a pre-tax loss of £ 46m from the previous financial year.

However, the fact that Liverpool were ready to pay Ibrahima Konaté’s £ 36million release clause would suggest that they are much more confident about their financial position now than they were at this time last year Chosen not to enable Timo Werner’s £ 54million release clause due to uncertainty about the ongoing effects of the pandemic.

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Emi Buendia’s £ 33million transfer from Norwich City to Aston Villa this week provides an interesting early indication of the kind of money certain players can expect this summer and the bar that Liverpool are selling with their own Assets should strive for. Buendia had an exceptional season in the championship, scoring 15 goals and 17 assists as Norwich secured promotion to the top division, which also attracted a lot of interest at Arsenal. There is every chance he will continue to thrive and prove to be a brilliant acquisition for Villa, but he doesn’t exactly arrive with much Premier League pedigree.

If Buendia is worth £ 33m, it doesn’t feel too difficult for Liverpool to ask for another productive position for Harry Wilson, who, like the Argentine, is also 24 and plays anywhere between £ 15m and £ 20m in a similar position Loan period in which he scored seven goals and 12 assists for Cardiff City in the championship last season after scoring seven goals for Bournemouth in the Premier League in 2019/20 and 15 for Derby County in 2018/19.

Marko Grujic also feels right after a strong end to his loan at Porto and two successful loan periods in the Bundesliga with Hertha Berlin with around £ 20 million. He is likely to be close to his prime at the age of 25 and there are sure to be a number of clubs interested this summer, including Porto, according to the Liverpool Echo.

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If Liverpool can raise between £ 30million and £ 40million for Grujic and Wilson combined, it would be an extremely healthy return for two players who probably wouldn’t even get banked next season if they stayed and the Konaté deal effective cover – a player who If all is well, Liverpool will be an important part of the plans for many seasons to come.

It gets more difficult with people like Divock Origi and Xherdan Shaqiri. Unlike Wilson and Grujic, they have been regular first-team soccer for quite some time and their contributions in the season just ended have been minimal, so their numbers are likely lower than ever in their respective Liverpool careers.

Liverpool might find it a little easier to raise a decent amount of money for Origi as he is still only 26 years old, while Shaqiri, who turns 30 in October and doesn’t have the best injury record in recent years, has the same appeal to buyers – However, his experience at the highest level should still count for something.

Ultimately, therefore, a situation could arise in which Liverpool only takes everything they can get for Origi and Shaqiri, while Wilson and Grujic end up charging significantly more than previously expected.

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